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How to make money from gold without ever picking up a shovel and why it matters to Cyprus

Imagine taking a slice of every gram of gold a mine produces, for years, without ever setting foot on site. No shovels, no machinery, none of the stress of running the operation. Sounds too good? That is exactly what a royalty company does. And one of them, based in Cyprus, has just seen its bet strengthen.

The easiest way to grasp it is through music, which is where the word comes from in the first place. A songwriter doesn't tour or press records. But every time the song plays somewhere in the world, a little money lands in their pocket. Those are royalties: you get paid again for something you set in motion once. Gold works on the same logic; the “song” is simply the metal coming out of the ground.

Now the facts. KEFI Gold and Copper, listed in London, has signed a contract worth more than US$400 million with BCM Group to mine the Tulu Kapi gold project in Ethiopia, covering its first nine years. It is the largest contract the project has ever signed, and the moment it stops being a plan on paper.

BCM brings the machinery, trains local staff and runs the operations. It is already on the ground and is now ordering the Caterpillar fleet for full-scale production. The deal was signed in London, at the first Ethio-British Investment Forum.

How much gold is on the table

Tulu Kapi is rated among Africa's largest undeveloped gold deposits heading for production: around 1.05 million ounces in reserves and 1.7 million ounces in total resources. It is also expected to be a low-cost mine, with estimated all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of around US$1,000 per ounce. Based on KEFI guidance of roughly 175,000 ounces of annual production in early-to-mid mine life, and at a gold price of US$5,000 an ounce, the project could generate around US$875 million in annual top-line revenue. KEFI has also signalled that the underground opportunity could be brought forward alongside the open pit, which may lift early-year production and extend mine’s life.

So where does Cyprus come in?

This is where it gets interesting. One of the project's financiers is not a London or Toronto giant. It is a Cyprus company. Mithril Royalties has secured binding terms for a US$10 million, 2.4% gold royalty over Tulu Kapi. In plain terms, it is not building or operating the mine; it holds a contractual right to a share of future gold production.

Why the model is clever

Think of it with a corner-shop example. A baker wants to open but can't afford the oven. You put up the money. Instead of interest, though, you agree on something else: for every loaf he sells, you make a small cut, not for a month but for years. You don't knead dough, you don't wake at five, you don't pay the electricity bill. But you earn every time the till rings.

A gold royalty company does exactly this with a mine. Rather than digging, building and running it, work that eats years, millions and nerves, it puts up capital and keeps a percentage of production for years. It gains from a rising metal price without carrying the weight and risk of mining.

And the model has a defensive side. Mithril is a royalty company, not a mine operator: it does not pay for diesel, labour, processing or cost overruns. That is why it can still perform even if the gold price falls well below today's levels.

What it could mean for an investor

How much could it be returned? According to the company's own investor materials, at a gold price of US$5,000 an ounce and with the mine fully producing, the 2.4% royalty could deliver a potential annual return of around 128% relative to the capital invested, after tax and costs. But this is an illustrative, hypothetical figure: US$5,000 sits well above today's levels, and everything depends on the mine reaching production.

Because this is not guaranteed income. Payments depend on the mine producing, gold being sold, the senior debt being serviced and, once the reserve accounts are satisfied, distributable cash being available. But once those conditions are met, Mithril's royalty ranks ahead of ordinary TKGM shareholder distributions.

Mithril's €10 million raise is designed to fund exactly this royalty commitment, while leaving room for contingency and working capital. And because the income is tied to gold rather than paper money, the structure offers a natural hedge against the debasement of currencies, both the euro and the US dollar.

A Cyprus first

Mithril Royalties aims to be the first company of its kind in Europe, built from Cyprus. Its founder and CEO, John Costaschuk, says he chose the island for its mix of financial expertise, stable framework and a mining heritage. That is no small thing: a model that until now lived in London, Toronto and New York is starting to carry a Cyprus stamp and Cyprus capital.

The start of a story

That is also why the BCM contract matters. It does not remove the risk, but it moves Tulu Kapi closer to production and reinforces confidence that construction is on track. And every step towards production strengthens Mithril's position.

No single contract builds a mine on its own. But one milestone after another is what turns a plan into reality, and each one lifts the value for those who got in early. Tulu Kapi is moving forward. And perhaps the most interesting news for Cyprus is not the mine itself, but the fact that a piece of this story, and of its value, is now being written from Cyprus. For anyone who wants to understand this new way of investing in gold, the conversation has only just begun.

*By Μaria Georgiou, Communication, Culture, Public Affairs and Strategy Advisor

Note: This article is for information only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy securities. Return and revenue figures are illustrative, rely on assumptions (including a US$5,000/oz gold price) and are not a forecast of any certain outcome. Investments in early-stage companies and precious metals carry significant risk, including the loss of capital. Anyone interested should carry out their own due diligence and, where appropriate, seek independent professional advice.

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